Migration Outlook – Saturday May 12th

National Overview

I was out of cellular range over the weekend and so couldn’t get the radar posted on the mornings of May 12th and 13th. Here’s the radar from Friday evening through the early morning on Saturday the 12th.

National Composite NEXRAD from around midnight on 5/12/12

National Composite NEXRAD from around midnight on 5/12/12

Below are the radar loops from sunset last night through 5:00am (central time) this morning

Since I will be publishing “as I go” each morning you may see some incomplete posts throughout the early morning hours. Don’t worry- it’s coming!

Mid Atlantic

Delaware & New Jersey

Frames are every 1/2 hour. Click on the thumbnail to view the full-sized animation.

Base Reflectivity image from Fort Dix Base Velocity image from Fort Dix Base Reflectivity image from Dover AFB Base Velocity image from Dover AFB

 

Upper Midwest

Iowa & Illinois

Frames are every 1/2 hour. Click on the thumbnail to view the full-sized animation.

Base Reflectivity image from Davenport, IA Base Velocity image from Davenport, IA Base Reflectivity image from Chicago, IL Base Velocity image from Chicago, IL

 

Wisconsin

Frames are every 1/2 hour. Click on the thumbnail to view the full-sized animation.

Base Reflectivity image from Milwaukee Base Velocity image from Milwaukee Base Reflectivity image from La Crosse, WI Base Velocity image from La Crosse, WI Base Reflectivity image from Green Bay, WI Base Velocity image from Green Bay, WI

 

As always, woodcreeper.com depends on YOU to report your sightings and be our ‘eyes on the ground’, so please come back and give us an idea of how we’re doing predicting birding conditions in your neck of the woods.

For migration updates in other regions check-

Michigan’s Upper Peninsula – The Northwoods BIRDAR by Max Henschell <- NEW!
New England – Tom Auer’s blog
Florida/SE – Badbirdz Reloaded by Angel and Mariel Abreu
PA/Ohio Valley – Nemesis Bird by Drew Weber
NW Ohio – Birding the Crane Creek by Kenn Kaufman
Arizona – Words About Birds by Tim Schreckengost <- NEW!
New Mexico – Albuquerque Birding by Matt O’Donnell <- NEW!
Pac NW – Birds Over Portland by Greg Haworth
Continental US – eBird BirdCast Forecast & Report by Team eBird

Posted in Birds, Forecast, Migration, Migration Radar, NEXRAD Migration Study, Spring Migration 2012 | Leave a comment

WSB FORECAST: Clear skies and westerly winds promise beautiful weather and a broad-front of migrants on the Big Day

Upper-level winds across New Jersey may be out of the NW but light westerly surface winds should provide enough room for migrants to move on Friday night. These conditions should result in a moderate migration event coinciding with the kickoff of the Big Day at midnight. This does increase the probability that staked out migrants may move on Friday night, so keep that in mind.  Garret Mountain and other inland migrant traps should see new birds on Saturday morning as conditions will be clear throughout Pennsylvania and the southern Mid-Atlantic, and coastal traps (especially those in the southern half of the state) should see an influx of birds as upper level NW winds and surface westerlies push them east. The greatest influx is expected into the southern half of the state where winds are forecast to be lighter. Also, expect good clear listening conditions to help pick out those migrants overhead. Given the high ceiling, the best listening will likely occur in the couple of hours predawn on Saturday and again just after dark on Saturday night.

I will post a special forecast here by 10:00pm Eastern Time with updated weather information regarding the World Series of Birding, so be sure to stop by.

Good Birding and Good Luck!

Posted in Birds, Forecast, Mid-Atlantic, Migration, NJAS, WSB | Leave a comment

Out of Internet coverage

I’ll be out of Internet coverage for the next two days. If something changes I’ll be sure to post but otherwise check with the BIRDAR network in the sidebar for migration information, especially Paul Hurtado’s NEXRAD archive. Should be some new birds around WI tomorrow AM!

Posted in NEXRAD Migration Study | Leave a comment

WSB Forecast Update

Current winds at all altitudes over the Delmarva and south NJ are out of the SW while only upper-level winds over the most northern part of the state (Southern NY, really) remain out of the NW. Migration has already begun and WSB participants should expect migrants throughout the region tomorrow AM. Coastal sites will see good density and diversity, as will interior migrant traps such as Garret Mountain. See the pervious forecast for more detail as everything still holds. Good luck and good birding!!

Posted in Birds, Forecast, Mid-Atlantic, Migration, NJAS, WSB | Leave a comment

Heavy migration up through the Great Plains and parts of the Midwest

National Overview

Birds continue to stream up through the middle of the country as a series of surface lows churn southerly winds over the region. The low over Texas proved to be the most precipitous and may have caused some fallout conditions along the Texas and Louisiana coasts this morning. Farther north the atmosphere was quite a bit more stable and migration was widespread with birds heading up as far as Central Minnesota. On both coasts migration was apparent but muted in comparison with the interior.

National Composite NEXRAD from around midnight on 5/11/12

National Composite NEXRAD from around midnight on 5/11/12

Below are the radar loops from sunset last night through 5:00am (central time) this morning

Since I will be publishing “as I go” each morning you may see some incomplete posts throughout the early morning hours. Don’t worry- it’s coming!

Mid Atlantic

Delaware & New Jersey

Frames are every 1/2 hour. Click on the thumbnail to view the full-sized animation.

Base Reflectivity image from Fort Dix Base Velocity image from Fort Dix Base Reflectivity image from Dover AFB Base Velocity image from Dover AFB

Light migration occurred over the Mid Atlantic as upper level and surface winds were out of the NW for most of the night. Expect this to change some by tonight as surface winds switch to more westerly. Expect a few birds to have moved around today but no major concentrations, other than what was present yesterday, are expected.

Upper Midwest

Iowa & Illinois

Frames are every 1/2 hour. Click on the thumbnail to view the full-sized animation.

Base Reflectivity image from Davenport, IA Base Velocity image from Davenport, IA Base Reflectivity image from Chicago, IL Base Velocity image from Chicago, IL

Birds were moving up through Iowa and Illinois last night with the densest migration over western Iowa. The Davenport radar did show a strong migration signal with most birds heading due north throughout the night, while over Illinois things were still a bit muted given the sub optimal conditions and birds were heading on a SE->NW trajectory. Expect some new birds throughout Iowa with the best locations being the tried-and-true spring migrant traps. Illinois should see some new birds and shifting densities, but will have to wait until tonight for the big push into the region.

Wisconsin

Frames are every 1/2 hour. Click on the thumbnail to view the full-sized animation.

Base Reflectivity image from Milwaukee Base Velocity image from Milwaukee Base Reflectivity image from La Crosse, WI Base Velocity image from La Crosse, WI Base Reflectivity image from Green Bay, WI Base Velocity image from Green Bay, WI

Migration up through Wisconsin followed a similar path as above with the heaviest movements in the western half of the state, closest to the approaching front. Heavy migration over La Crosse puts more birds up into the northwest part of the state, while influx from Iowa should replace many of these birds for the lower Mississippi region. Lighter migration out of eastern Illinois and up the east side of Wisconsin means that many birds are simply moving north and out of the southeastern part of the state. Expect some shifting of birds across the state with highest densities in the west and known spring migrant traps holding the most birds. Things should ramp up for Wisconsin tomorrow as the front pushes east so be sure to keep an eye on the radar tonight!

As always, woodcreeper.com depends on YOU to report your sightings and be our ‘eyes on the ground’, so please come back and give us an idea of how we’re doing predicting birding conditions in your neck of the woods.

For migration updates in other regions check:

Michigan’s Upper Peninsula – The Northwoods BIRDAR by Max Henschell <- NEW!
New England – Tom Auer’s blog
Florida/SE – Badbirdz Reloaded by Angel and Mariel Abreu
PA/Ohio Valley – Nemesis Bird by Drew Weber
NW Ohio – Birding the Crane Creek by Kenn Kaufman
Arizona – Words About Birds by Tim Schreckengost <- NEW!
New Mexico – Albuquerque Birding by Matt O’Donnell <- NEW!
Pac NW – Birds Over Portland by Greg Haworth
Continental US – eBird BirdCast Forecast & Report by Team eBird

Posted in Birds, Forecast, Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, Migration, Migration Radar, NEXRAD Migration Study, Spring Migration 2012 | 2 Comments